What Will Winter Weather Bring To Australia?
When it comes to the weather, all is changeable except the seasons..or are they?
When I was a young lad, growing up in Western Australia, you could count on specific seasons. Winter was wet and cool, it used to rain pretty much 2 days out of 3. Spring was sunny with a few showers, and a cool sea breeze to chill you. Summer was always hot and sunny, perfect for my job as a local window cleaner. Autumn started hot, but soon it settled into a winter pattern.
How times have changed! Now, in Perth, Western Australia, summers are humid with occasional rain, Autumn is hot and sunny, Winter is drier and warmer, and finally Sprint is dry and hot. So, to characterise it, Perth used to have a mediterranean climate, but now it is sub-tropical semi-arid.
This pattern is the prevailing one now. So, when forecasting what will happen in the next few months, it is better to use current conditions as a model instead of historical climate genres.
The Upcoming Season
So, what can we expect for Perth for the next few months, and how will that affect local businesses?Well, going on what we have previously mentioned, Perth can experience warm weather(typically) until late June.
There will be some rainfall, however, it will likely be below the historical averages. July and August, typically the coldest months of the year, will have just over half their typical average. Nights will be cold, but the days will generally be sunny.
All of this, of course, is bad news for the farmers, who rely on heavy winter rains to motivate their crops to flourish. However, for city dwellers, who generally shun rainy days, this winter outlook will be very welcome.
What About The East Coast?
For Sydney, where I currently live, June is often the wettest month of the year. With new weather patterns though, June may not be the wettest month of the year, although it won't be completely dry.
With the new weather patterns, the Southerly and Easterly winds are much less prominent, meaning that moisture bearing winds bearing rain are less likely.
Because of this, Sydney should experience a drier, sunnier winter, with cold nights, and above average day temperatures. This will be good news for tourist spots such as Bondi and Coogee.
Melbourne will also be slightly drier than normal. However, because the Victorian capital is so well entrenched in the Westerly wind belt, the effects will be less obvious than in other Australian capitals.
The Long Term Outlook
The current changes to weather patterns are often cyclical. However, these cycles can last many, many years. As such, we can expect the weather patterns mentioned above to continue for the foreseeable future. The next cycle won't likely begin in our lifetime.
All of this means that extreme events such as bushfires, droughts, floods, heat and cold, will be something that should be expected...and planned for.
Australia has always been an extreme nation when it comes to weather events, and the outlook means that if anything, those extremes may be amplified.